John Campbell

Africa in Transition

Campbell tracks political and security developments across sub-Saharan Africa.

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Showing posts for "Democracy"

Guest Post: Mali: ‘No Country for Old Men?’

by Guest Blogger for John Campbell
Coup leader Captain Amadou Sanogo attends a ceremony as former parliament speaker Dioncounda Traore (unseen) is sworn in as Mali's interim president in the captial Bamako, April 12, 2012. (Malin Palm/Courtesy Reuters) Coup leader Captain Amadou Sanogo attends a ceremony as former parliament speaker Dioncounda Traore (unseen) is sworn in as Mali's interim president in the captial Bamako, April 12, 2012. (Malin Palm/Courtesy Reuters)

This is a guest post by Jim Sanders, a career, now retired, West Africa watcher for various federal agencies. The views expressed below are his personal views and do not reflect those of his former employers. In Jim’s post, he discusses recent events in Mali, and how they may point towards a possible democratic renewal. Read more »

Mali: Military Still in Charge

by John Campbell
Malian military junta troops who carried out a coup in March guard a street after renewed fighting in the capital Bamako May 1, 2012. (Stringer/Courtesy Reuters) Malian military junta troops who carried out a coup in March guard a street after renewed fighting in the capital Bamako May 1, 2012. (Stringer/Courtesy Reuters)

Former coup leader captain Amadou Haya Sanago announced on May 1 that his troops had suppressed a counter-coup by forces allegedly loyal to former president Amadou Toure. Sanago said his troops controlled the airport, the state television and radio stations, and the local army barracks. According to the press, fourteen were killed and forty were wounded. Read more »

Mali Half-way to a Solution?

by John Campbell
Former parliament speaker Dioncounda Traore (L) greets a soldier attending a ceremony for Traore to be sworn in as Mali's interim president in the captial Bamako April 12, 2012. (Malin Palm/Courtesy Reuters) Former parliament speaker Dioncounda Traore (L) greets a soldier attending a ceremony for Traore to be sworn in as Mali's interim president in the captial Bamako April 12, 2012. (Malin Palm/Courtesy Reuters)

President Amadou Toure agreed to step down as president, clearing the way for the vice president to become chief of state. The military in turn agreed to the restoration of constitutional government. Accordingly, Dioncounda Traore was sworn in as president last week. The military has what it wanted in the first place: the removal of Toure from office. The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) has what it wanted: the reversal of a military coup. Read more »

Guest Post: Democracy in Africa: Form Over Substance

by Guest Blogger for John Campbell
Expelled African National Congress Youth League (ANCYL) President Julius Malema (R) and South African Deputy President Kgalema Motlanthe gesture during an ANCYL rally in Limpopo province March 25, 2012. (Siphiwe Sibeko/Courtesy Reuters) Expelled African National Congress Youth League (ANCYL) President Julius Malema (R) and South African Deputy President Kgalema Motlanthe gesture during an ANCYL rally in Limpopo province March 25, 2012. (Siphiwe Sibeko/Courtesy Reuters)

This is a guest post by Jim Sanders, a career, now retired, West Africa watcher for various federal agencies. The views expressed below are his personal views and do not reflect those of his former employers.

Events in Mali are very likely to be seen mainly as an outgrowth of those in Libya, but the heavy focus on reversing the coup, with less on the partition of the country, is stunning in its neglect of a more basic issue: namely, Western preoccupation with the trappings of democracy, e.g., elections, constitutions, etc., rather than its substance. The ease with which the country’s president was ousted and half the country’s territory lost, indicates a very weak government, lacking its population’s support and confidence. Read more »

Senegal’s Elections are Good News

by John Campbell
Supporters of Senegalese opposition presidential candidate Macky Sall celebrate in the capital Dakar March 25, 2012. (Joe Penney/Courtesy Reuters) Supporters of Senegalese opposition presidential candidate Macky Sall celebrate in the capital Dakar March 25, 2012. (Joe Penney/Courtesy Reuters)

A week following the dark news of a military coup in Mali, Senegal’s presidential runoff is profoundly encouraging for African democrats. Incumbent president Abdoulaye Wade has conceded to, and congratulated, opposition candidate Macky Sall following the March 25 presidential runoff. The press reports that the elections were calm. Though election observers have yet to comment, based on press reports their findings are likely to be favorable. Read more »

Senegal Elections: A First Take

by John Campbell
A bottle of ink used to mark voters' fingers is seen on a table during presidential elections in the capital Dakar February 26, 2012. (Stringer/Courtesy Reuters) A bottle of ink used to mark voters' fingers is seen on a table during presidential elections in the capital Dakar February 26, 2012. (Stringer/Courtesy Reuters)

Preliminary reports from Senegal are that Sunday’s polling and subsequent ballot counting has gone well, though Western media concentrates on Dakar and other large cities. Nevertheless, an important, domestic NGO, RESOCIT, deployed more than two thousand local observers and concluded that there was an “astonishingly” low number of incidents of violence and fraud. Read more »

Congo-Kinshasa Goes from Bad to Worse

by John Campbell

Earlier this week, I did a bleak video for the CFR on the consequences of Congo’s just-concluded elections. If I were to do it today, it would be even bleaker. Both incumbent Joseph Kabila and chief rival Etienne Tshisekedi continue to claim to have won the November 2011 presidential elections, and neither shows any sign of backing down. Today in Kinshasa Tshisekedi’s party called for mass protests to “protect” his claimed victory, though there were no specifics as to time or venue. But, if and when it happens, there is likely to be considerable bloodshed. Outside the capital, it looks like Kabila’s faction is stepping up the repression. In the eastern cities of Bukavu and Goma, police stopped the opposition from marching and mayors banned all protests. In Lubumbashi, the presidential guard dispersion of a peaceful protest left many injured. Read more »

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