Robert M. Danin

Middle East Matters

Danin analyzes critical developments and U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East.

Print Print Cite Cite
Style: MLA APA Chicago Close

loading...

Secretary Kerry’s Vision-Seeking Israeli-Palestinian Speech

by Robert M. Danin
December 28, 2016

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry leaves the podium after speaking with the media in Manhattan, New York, September 22, 2016 (Darrin Ornitz/Reuters).

Share

Secretary of State John Kerry just delivered the speech he’s been eager to give for several years. Following the abrupt failure of his ambitious all-or-nothing peace initiative in April 2014, Kerry and some of his aides have suggested that their efforts had actually broken important diplomatic ground, and that they had produced new innovative formulas for a conflict-ending comprehensive Israeli-Palestinian peace agreement. The secretary apparently wanted to share these ideas, if for no other reason than to document publicly the seriousness of his efforts and as one final plea over the urgency of solving a problem he is convinced will soon become insoluble due to dynamic changes on the ground—namely Israeli settlement activity.

President Obama, Kerry’s boss, has not been convinced that the United States should play one of its last remaining diplomatic cards by laying out a detailed vision of comprehensive peace in the waning days of his administration. Obama himself had tried it in May 2011 when, after considerable internal squabbling, he laid out his own partial vision of a solution of Middle East peace in two precisely crafted speeches—one at the State Department and a second one before the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC). Rather than break the Israeli-Palestinian impasse, however, Obama’s 2011 speeches were marked by an absence of follow-up diplomacy. American peacemaking efforts went into hibernation until John Kerry returned to them almost two years later upon becoming secretary of state.

No doubt, the impending inauguration of Donald Trump helped convince Obama to let Kerry make today’s speech, if only for legacy purposes. Trump, who previously donated money to a West Bank settlement in honor of his recently named ambassador to Israel, David Friedman, clearly shares few if any of the assumptions on which American peacemaking diplomacy has been conducted over the past eight years. Obama probably surmised that even if it does not advance the cause of peace, at least Kerry’s remarks could help contain the uproar unleashed by the United States’ abstention from last week’s Security Council Resolution 2334, which is strongly critical of Israel. And today, Kerry clearly sought to explain and justify the administration’s thinking in not vetoing the resolution.

Yet that today John Kerry, rather than the president himself, went before the cameras suggests that Obama either remains ambivalent over the utility of laying out a comprehensive American vision or doesn’t really see there being much more left to say. Instead, as with Kerry’s peripatetic Israeli-Palestinian diplomacy, Obama appeared willing to let his lead diplomat once again scratch a longstanding itch and devote time and effort to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Kerry has already made many remarks on the need for Israelis and Palestinians to make peace, including some delivered just several weeks ago. So why not one more?

After listening to Kerry’s speech, the president must feel that his disinclination to give his own speech was correct. For what was striking about Kerry’s 75-minute long address was not what was new, but rather how little new there really was for him to say. Just about everything Kerry said today he has said in one form or another previously in multiple speeches as secretary of state. Kerry has long warned of the danger that settlements pose to a two-state solution, cautioned that time is running out for such a solution to be viable, noted the dangers of a one-state reality in the land between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean, and stressed the need for Israel to chose soon if it wants to be both a Jewish and democratic state.

Perhaps even more striking is that despite the lengthiness of the speech, it failed to deliver on the one thing it had promised: New American parameters for a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Instead, Kerry offered up a set of “principles” for the basis of a peace settlement. Kerry did not go further than his boss had done in May 2011. And the ideas that Secretary Kerry offered were remarkably similar to those offered up by President Clinton at the end of his presidency in January 2001.

Also missing was any sense of how the principles he articulated can or should be realized. What Kerry seemed to be calling for was something he has been calling for four years: Israeli and Palestinian leaders to become reasonable and prioritize peacemaking in the way Secretary of State Kerry does. Completely absent was a new path to get there, other than through face-to-face negotiations.

Inherent in Secretary Kerry’s speech was a fundamental contradiction. On the one hand, the premise of the speech was that a two-state solution is just about unrealizable, owing largely to continued Israeli settlement activity. At the same time, the purpose Kerry gave for delivering the speech was that some future American peacemakers can pick up and build upon on the principles articulated by Kerry. Presumably Kerry doesn’t expect that President-elect Donald Trump will do so. So then how could a two-state solution along the lines Kerry articulated be viable sometime down the line if time is just about to run out on such an outcome?

For years, American leaders have said that the United States cannot want peace more than the parties themselves. While Kerry himself has parroted that line, there is no evidence that the secretary of state actually believes it. Instead, he appears to be driven by a belief that American wisdom and willpower can still prevail over the absence of Israeli and Palestinian urgency. That passionate sense was palpable again today. Absent was a compelling explanation as to why he seems more determined and urgent to make fateful choices for peace right now than Israelis and Palestinians are themselves.

Post a Comment 5 Comments

  • Posted by D'Allessandro

    Outgoing US Secretary of State John Kerry will not get his coveted Nobel Peace Prize unlike his current boss who won it for delivering speeches and writing books that were full of surreal idealism and little of political pragmatism. The failures of peace in Iraq, the never ending Afghanistan quagmire, the Libyan debacle, the fallout in Egypt, Syria, Crimea, Ukraine, the rise of DAESH, drone attacks across the world, the current Palestinian-Israeli conflict among many other hot spots clearly define the nonfulfillment concepts that the Obama administration undertook or didn’t at all.

    Your befuddlement over what clearly is a lack of substance in the Kerry speech has been the trademark of the current presidency and his cabinet. In a nutshell this latest political diatribe is nothing more than elegant wishful thinking eloquence with the aim of cementing a “legacy” obsession of which Mr. Obama is keen on. Add the fact that he is taking a parting shot at his Israeli counterpart and our most erstwhile ally in the Middle East, and there you have the gist of this latest enunciation.

  • Posted by David Rice

    If one Googles maps of Israel/Palestine over the period of time 1948-2016, it is apparent that there is an agenda; consider these quotes, and imagine what that agenda is.
    “On the plains of Moab by the Jordan across from Jericho the Lord said to Moses, ‘Speak to the Israelites and say to them:’ ‘When you cross the Jordan into Canaan, drive out all the inhabitants of the land before you. Destroy all their carved images and their cast idols, and demolish all their high places. Take possession of the land and settle in it, for I have given you the land to possess. Distribute the land by lot, according to your clans. To a larger group give a larger inheritance, and to a smaller group a smaller one. Whatever falls to them by lot will be theirs. Distribute it according to your ancestral tribes. But if you do not drive out the inhabitants of the land, those you allow to remain will become barbs in your eyes and thorns in your sides. They will give you trouble in the land where you will live. And then I will do to you what I plan to do to them.’”
    Numbers 33:50-56, Holy Bible (New International Version)

    “O believers, do not hold Jews and Christians as your allies. They are allies of one another; and anyone who makes them his friends is surely one of them; and God does not guide the unjust.”
    The Feast, 5: 51, Al-Qur’ān

    These quotes are from the source documents of these two cultures; nearest I can tell, these people will never get along peacefully, and because of World-guilt concerning the Holocaust (the Palistinian leadership sided with Hitler in that time period), it would appear that Israel will be the culture to stubbornly-dominate that land for a long time to come.
    Diplomats will be banging their heads against the wall until the map of that area is all Israel (which I suspect is the actual agenda; piece-by-piece). I do see how, considering the Holocaust, why the Israelis would be angry, and empowered to punish anyone who confounds their plans to have a home-land free of people who do not like them (especially ones that can’t keep from throwing rocks, shooting rockets and other things, and otherwise being unable to keep their hands to themselves). If I were a person living in a place where the agenda is to make my life miserable, I would not spend the short time of my life insisting on being there, insisting on having my way; the world is big, and life too short. Even the Al-Qur’ān (Koran) speaks to this:
    “As for those whose souls are taken by the angels (at death) while in a state of unbelief, they will be asked by the angels: ‘What (state) were you in?’ They will answer: ‘We were oppressed in the land.’ And the angels will say: ‘Was not God’s earth large enough for you to migrate?’ There abode will be Hell, and what an evil destination!”
    The Woman, 4: 97, Al-Qur’ān

  • Posted by Charles McLaughlin

    Secretary Kerry was spot on saying that ” Israel can be a Jewish state or a democratic state but not both” Netanyahu is proving him right by continuing to build settlements on land that was to be part of a Palestinian state.

  • Posted by Philip

    There can never be peace in the promised land. Blame Abraham for knocking up Ruth. Truth is, Caucasian jews want it. Muslims want it. Black Hebrew movement wants it. Russia wants it for gas and oil. USA and Great Britain are too invested to pull out. It’s a mess. No fix.

  • Posted by Paul Horsten

    The USA should not be involved in any agreement of whatever nature. Leave the Israel and Palestine their own devices.

Post a Comment

CFR seeks to foster civil and informed discussion of foreign policy issues. Opinions expressed on CFR blogs are solely those of the author or commenter, not of CFR, which takes no institutional positions. All comments must abide by CFR's guidelines and will be moderated prior to posting.

* Required