Benn Steil

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How “Global” Are Global Imbalances?

by
November 23, 2009

2009.11.23.GlobalImb

Global imbalances, as reflected in the current account deficits and surpluses of the world’s major regions, fell with the collapse of trade and oil prices in 2008, but should rise again as both recover. This chart shows that global imbalances are driven primarily by the U.S. and China. Absent significant macroeconomic policy changes in one or both, the likelihood of a sustained, significant improvement in global imbalances, without another crisis, is small.

Dunaway: The U.S.-China Economic Relationship
Dunaway: Global Imbalances and the Financial Crisis
Frieden: Global Imbalances, National Rebalancing, and the Political Economy of Recovery
Backgrounder: Confronting the China-U.S. Economic Imbalance

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  • Posted by geoff garrett

    great figure! Could you send me the underlying data – that is the numbers for total and US-China? Of course, things would look even more extreme if you did ROW rather than total. I have written a piece arguing that imbalances are not going away and that it will be a major challenge for the g-20 to deal with. The paper will come out in a new LSE journal Global Policy is January. You can access the draft here: http://ussc.edu.au/s/media/docs/publications/0911_garrett_g20.pdf

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