Shannon K. O'Neil

Latin America's Moment

O'Neil analyzes developments in Latin America and U.S. relations in the region.

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Announcing Release of Two Nations Indivisible

by Shannon K. O'Neil
Yaritza Hernandez is seen through an American flag as she waves a Mexican flag during a rally in support of immigration rights in Washington, May 17, 2006 (Jim Young/Courtesy Reuters). Yaritza Hernandez is seen through an American flag as she waves a Mexican flag during a rally in support of immigration rights in Washington, May 17, 2006 (Jim Young/Courtesy Reuters).

Dear friends,

I’m excited to announce that Two Nations Indivisible: Mexico, the United States, and the Road Ahead is now available from Oxford University Press. Read more »

Mexico and the United States, Two Nations Indivisible

by Shannon K. O'Neil
A woman holds a Mexican flag and a U.S. flag at a May Day rally for immigrants' and workers' rights in Portland, Oregon, May 1, 2007. A woman holds a Mexican flag and a U.S. flag at a May Day rally for immigrants' and workers' rights in Portland, Oregon, May 1, 2007 (Richard Clement/Courtesy Reuters).

Mexico and the United States are linked closer than ever through trade, bi-national communities, security concerns, and a shared democratic vision. In this interview with Emerging Markets, I spoke with Antonia Oprita about what the challenges and opportunities are for the relationship and why it matters so much for both countries. For a more in-depth analysis, check out my new book, Two Nations Indivisible: Mexico, the United States, and the Road Ahead. Read more »

A Seamless North American Market

by Shannon K. O'Neil
U.S. Customs and Border Patrol officers inspect vehicles entering the United States from Mexico at the San Ysidro boarding crossing in San Ysidro, California, March 1, 2013. (Mike Blake/Courtesy Reuters). U.S. Customs and Border Patrol officers inspect vehicles entering the United States from Mexico at the San Ysidro boarding crossing in San Ysidro, California, March 1, 2013. (Mike Blake/Courtesy Reuters).

The Council on Foreign Relations released a new policy innovation memorandum today by American University professor Bob Pastor. The paper, “Shortcut to U.S. Economic Competitiveness: A Seamless North American Market,” puts forth a plan for the United States’ economic recovery that depends on America’s neighbors and closest economic partners—Mexico and Canada. Read more »

How the U.S. Sequester Will Hit Latin America

by Shannon K. O'Neil
Transportation Security Agency (TSA) officers work at Washington's Reagan National Airport outside Washington, February 25, 2013 (Larry Downing/Courtesy Reuters). Transportation Security Agency (TSA) officers work at Washington's Reagan National Airport outside Washington, February 25, 2013 (Larry Downing/Courtesy Reuters).

With the United States quickly approaching its Friday sequester deadline, the federal government is bracing for cuts. Much of the $85 billion in spending cuts will hit domestic programs and services—everything from wildlife reserves to childcare services. But the reverberations will also be felt in Latin America and the rest of the world. Read more »

Mexico Makes It

by Shannon K. O'Neil
Foreign Affairs, March/April 2013 Foreign Affairs, March/April 2013

Four tons of cocaine confiscated by U.S. authorities off the California coast; 35 bodies dumped by the side of a busy Veracruz highway in broad daylight; an attack by gunmen on a birthday party in Ciudad Juárez killing 14, many of them teenagers: tragedies like these, all of which occurred over the past two years and were extensively covered by the media, are common in Mexico today. Prominent Mexican news organizations and analysts have estimated that during the six-year term of Mexico’s last president, Felipe Calderón, over 60,000 people were killed in drug-related violence, and some researchers have put the number at tens of thousands more. Mexico’s crime rates are some of the worst in the Western Hemisphere. According to Latinobarómetro, an annual regionwide public opinion poll, over 40 percent of Mexicans say that they or a family member has been the victim of a crime at some point in the last year. Hidden behind the troubling headlines, however, is another, more hopeful Mexico—one undergoing rapid and widespread social, political, and economic transformation. Read more »

Mexico’s Drug War

by Shannon K. O'Neil

In the past three decade Mexico has undergone widespread political and economic transformations, becoming an electoral democracy and cultivating a growing middle class. Despite this real progress, Mexico faces an acute security crisis that has taken tens of thousands of lives and affected many more. In this recently released CFR video, Alejandro Hope, Stewart Patrick, Laura Vargas, and I take a look at the current situation in Mexico and the prospects for a less violent future. Read more »

Think Again: Immigration

by Shannon K. O'Neil
A woman reads a pamphlet prior to being naturalized as a U.S. citizen during a ceremony at the John F. Kennedy Library in Boston, Massachusetts July 14, 2010. A woman reads a pamphlet prior to being naturalized as a U.S. citizen during a ceremony at the John F. Kennedy Library in Boston, Massachusetts July 14, 2010 (Brian Snyder/Courtesy Reuters).

President Obama outlined his vision yesterday in Las Vegas for a comprehensive immigration reform, officially kicking off what will undoubtedly be a heated countrywide debate. With so many differing (and at times blatantly false) statistics and assertions circling the immigration discussion, here is my take, via Foreign Policy, debunking five of the biggest myths. Do you have others? Let me know! Read more »

U.S. Exports Depend on Mexico

by Shannon K. O'Neil
Ford Motor production workers assemble batteries for Ford electric and hybrid vehicles at the Ford Rawsonville Assembly Plant in Ypsilanti Twsp, Michigan (Rebecca Cook/Courtesy Reuters). Ford Motor production workers assemble batteries for Ford electric and hybrid vehicles at the Ford Rawsonville Assembly Plant in Ypsilanti Twsp, Michigan (Rebecca Cook/Courtesy Reuters).

Surprising to many Americans is the importance of the United States’ trade with Mexico. While Asia captures the headlines, U.S. exports to Mexico are double those to China, and second only to Canada.

And while many of these goods come from border states—Texas, Arizona, New Mexico, and California—Mexico matters for much more of the union. Seventeen states send more than 10 percent of their exports to Mexico, and it is the number one or two destination for U.S. goods for nearly half the country. The graph below shows those states most economically dependent on our southern neighbor–notice that South Dakota and Nebraska outpace New Mexico and California. Read more »