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	<title>Comments on: Forget about the CIC.  The state banks are the real story for now</title>
	<atom:link href="http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/</link>
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	<lastBuildDate>Thu, 14 Oct 2010 13:09:54 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: London Remortgages</title>
		<link>http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-135275</link>
		<dc:creator>London Remortgages</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Jun 2010 09:11:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-135275</guid>
		<description>Think we should remember that the whole system is clouded in mystery. These people can make billions disappear overnight, and return as trillions of dollars, the profit of which they duly pocket as payment for their magician like skills.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Think we should remember that the whole system is clouded in mystery. These people can make billions disappear overnight, and return as trillions of dollars, the profit of which they duly pocket as payment for their magician like skills.</p>
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		<title>By: Brad Setser: Follow the Money &#187; Blog Archive &#187; Sovereign loss funds &#8230;</title>
		<link>http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-120256</link>
		<dc:creator>Brad Setser: Follow the Money &#187; Blog Archive &#187; Sovereign loss funds &#8230;</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Dec 2008 01:19:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-120256</guid>
		<description>[...] any mark to market losses on Blackstone and Morgan Stanley. Or $200-300 billion if the CIC and the foreign assets China&#8217;s state banks (which the CIC owns) effectively manage for the CIC &#8212; as these are [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] any mark to market losses on Blackstone and Morgan Stanley. Or $200-300 billion if the CIC and the foreign assets China&#8217;s state banks (which the CIC owns) effectively manage for the CIC &#8212; as these are [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Judy Yeo</title>
		<link>http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-112272</link>
		<dc:creator>Judy Yeo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Sep 2008 10:54:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-112272</guid>
		<description>2fish

not disputing your points, however, for all the politician talk about understanding what the ordinary citizen thinks, oh pulease! 

as for getting everyone else&#039;s hands &quot;dirty&quot;, sure, but when the profits start dropping off , suddenly, the fingers are all pointing at you know who

as for the unemployed, wonder how many of the olympic tourist crowd got to see the big crowds of unemployed milling around beijing&#039;s old neighbourhoods or even occasionally around tiananmen square, protesting. that looks set to be some permanent feature of certain chinese cities soon, empty stomachs and bleak futures are fuel for rage

when the individual benefits without the state getting in on the action, or without somnehow returning some to society, he seems destined for trouble, how many of the rich (eg hurun report) have disappeared from the list and reappeared on court lists; really doubt if china has really altered the equation as you seem to think?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>2fish</p>
<p>not disputing your points, however, for all the politician talk about understanding what the ordinary citizen thinks, oh pulease! </p>
<p>as for getting everyone else&#8217;s hands &#8220;dirty&#8221;, sure, but when the profits start dropping off , suddenly, the fingers are all pointing at you know who</p>
<p>as for the unemployed, wonder how many of the olympic tourist crowd got to see the big crowds of unemployed milling around beijing&#8217;s old neighbourhoods or even occasionally around tiananmen square, protesting. that looks set to be some permanent feature of certain chinese cities soon, empty stomachs and bleak futures are fuel for rage</p>
<p>when the individual benefits without the state getting in on the action, or without somnehow returning some to society, he seems destined for trouble, how many of the rich (eg hurun report) have disappeared from the list and reappeared on court lists; really doubt if china has really altered the equation as you seem to think?</p>
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		<title>By: Rien Huizer</title>
		<link>http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-112240</link>
		<dc:creator>Rien Huizer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Sep 2008 16:45:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-112240</guid>
		<description>Are we talking about what the bank benefits from investment activity or the managers. Sorry, rude comment..</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Are we talking about what the bank benefits from investment activity or the managers. Sorry, rude comment..</p>
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		<title>By: Twofish</title>
		<link>http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-112190</link>
		<dc:creator>Twofish</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Sep 2008 17:29:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-112190</guid>
		<description>DC: If the Chinese government directly finances advanced microprocessor technology, it represents Industrial policy.

It&#039;s funding it through universities or CAS which doesn&#039;t make it that different from the type of university funding that the US does.  Like the US, there isn&#039;t that much in the way of top-down direction.

What is missing is the financing and management elements to commercialize anything that gets developed in the universities.  That will come eventually.

Regula: Intel is building an entire plant in China. I wonder what federal law says about that?

Quite a bit.  There are huge export restrictions on the type of equipment that Intel can bring into China.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>DC: If the Chinese government directly finances advanced microprocessor technology, it represents Industrial policy.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s funding it through universities or CAS which doesn&#8217;t make it that different from the type of university funding that the US does.  Like the US, there isn&#8217;t that much in the way of top-down direction.</p>
<p>What is missing is the financing and management elements to commercialize anything that gets developed in the universities.  That will come eventually.</p>
<p>Regula: Intel is building an entire plant in China. I wonder what federal law says about that?</p>
<p>Quite a bit.  There are huge export restrictions on the type of equipment that Intel can bring into China.</p>
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		<title>By: Cedric Regula</title>
		<link>http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-112188</link>
		<dc:creator>Cedric Regula</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Sep 2008 15:34:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-112188</guid>
		<description>&quot;Federal laws also prohibit the export of state-of-the-art microprocessors from the United States to China, meaning that microchips shipped to China are usually a few generations behind the newest ones in the West.&quot;

Intel is building an entire plant in China. I wonder what federal law says about that?

I think the shift in policy towards high tech will make China lust after Taiwan even more. In semiconductors there is a long history of basic technology patents that hamstring a newcomer&#039;s entry into the market. The existing manufacturers negotiate broad trades of basic technology licenses between themselves, making it possible for engineers to designs things without running into basic patent infringement issues. Taiwan has been in the game much longer than China.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Federal laws also prohibit the export of state-of-the-art microprocessors from the United States to China, meaning that microchips shipped to China are usually a few generations behind the newest ones in the West.&#8221;</p>
<p>Intel is building an entire plant in China. I wonder what federal law says about that?</p>
<p>I think the shift in policy towards high tech will make China lust after Taiwan even more. In semiconductors there is a long history of basic technology patents that hamstring a newcomer&#8217;s entry into the market. The existing manufacturers negotiate broad trades of basic technology licenses between themselves, making it possible for engineers to designs things without running into basic patent infringement issues. Taiwan has been in the game much longer than China.</p>
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		<title>By: Dave C.</title>
		<link>http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-112186</link>
		<dc:creator>Dave C.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Sep 2008 14:38:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-112186</guid>
		<description>Twofish,

If the Chinese government directly finances advanced microprocessor technology, it represents Industrial policy. LOL

A Chinese Challenge to Intel 
Researchers have revealed details of China&#039;s latest homegrown microprocessor. 
http://www.technologyreview.com/printer_friendly_article.aspx?id=21322&amp;channel=specialsections&amp;section=storage

In California last week, Chinese researchers unveiled details of a microprocessor. The chip, code-named Godson-3, was developed with government funding by more than 200 researchers at the Chinese Academy of Sciences&#039; Institute of Computing Technology (ICT). Engineers have added 200 additional instructions to Godson-3 to simulate an x86 chip, which allows Godson-3 to run more software, including the Windows operating system.

China is making a late entry into chip making, admits Zhiwei Xu, deputy director of ICT. &quot;Twenty years ago in China, we didn&#039;t support R&amp;D for microprocessors,&quot; he said during a presentation last week at the Hot Chips conference, in Palo Alto. &quot;The decision makers and [Chinese] IT community have come to realize that CPUs [central processing units] are important.&quot;

Tom Halfhill, an analyst at research firm In-Stat, says that the objective for China is to take control of the design and manufacture of vital technology. &quot;Like America wants to be energy independent, China wants to be technology independent,&quot; Halfhill says. &quot;They don&#039;t want to be dependent on outside countries for critical technologies like microprocessors, which are, nowadays, a fundamental commodity.&quot; Federal laws also prohibit the export of state-of-the-art microprocessors from the United States to China, meaning that microchips shipped to China are usually a few generations behind the newest ones in the West.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Twofish,</p>
<p>If the Chinese government directly finances advanced microprocessor technology, it represents Industrial policy. LOL</p>
<p>A Chinese Challenge to Intel<br />
Researchers have revealed details of China&#8217;s latest homegrown microprocessor.<br />
<a href="http://www.technologyreview.com/printer_friendly_article.aspx?id=21322&#038;channel=specialsections&#038;section=storage" rel="nofollow">http://www.technologyreview.com/printer_friendly_article.aspx?id=21322&#038;channel=specialsections&#038;section=storage</a></p>
<p>In California last week, Chinese researchers unveiled details of a microprocessor. The chip, code-named Godson-3, was developed with government funding by more than 200 researchers at the Chinese Academy of Sciences&#8217; Institute of Computing Technology (ICT). Engineers have added 200 additional instructions to Godson-3 to simulate an x86 chip, which allows Godson-3 to run more software, including the Windows operating system.</p>
<p>China is making a late entry into chip making, admits Zhiwei Xu, deputy director of ICT. &#8220;Twenty years ago in China, we didn&#8217;t support R&amp;D for microprocessors,&#8221; he said during a presentation last week at the Hot Chips conference, in Palo Alto. &#8220;The decision makers and [Chinese] IT community have come to realize that CPUs [central processing units] are important.&#8221;</p>
<p>Tom Halfhill, an analyst at research firm In-Stat, says that the objective for China is to take control of the design and manufacture of vital technology. &#8220;Like America wants to be energy independent, China wants to be technology independent,&#8221; Halfhill says. &#8220;They don&#8217;t want to be dependent on outside countries for critical technologies like microprocessors, which are, nowadays, a fundamental commodity.&#8221; Federal laws also prohibit the export of state-of-the-art microprocessors from the United States to China, meaning that microchips shipped to China are usually a few generations behind the newest ones in the West.</p>
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		<title>By: Twofish</title>
		<link>http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-112185</link>
		<dc:creator>Twofish</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Sep 2008 14:26:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-112185</guid>
		<description>When people usually take about &quot;industrial policy&quot; they usually think about the top-down decision making process that you saw in Japan in the 1980&#039;s.  I wouldn&#039;t use the term &quot;industrial policy&quot; to characterize Chinese economic decision making since is far too chaotic and there are far too many interest groups for there really to be a &quot;policy.&quot;

For example...

DC: China’s low-end manufacturers have found their tax rebates withdrawn, and complicated export duties imposed.

The government just increased tax rebates for textiles since they were complaining. The model in which the government orders something and it is done just doesn&#039;t fit China, and what actually happens is that you have a mess of conflicting interest groups interacting with each other.

The statement that the &quot;Communist Party decides everything&quot; is true but meaningless and very misleading since in implies a top-down decision making structure which isn&#039;t how things work.  All of the major economic actors and interest groups have representation within the Communist Party and so that it&#039;s not a trivial to figure out what constitutes a &quot;decision&quot; by the Party.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When people usually take about &#8220;industrial policy&#8221; they usually think about the top-down decision making process that you saw in Japan in the 1980&#8242;s.  I wouldn&#8217;t use the term &#8220;industrial policy&#8221; to characterize Chinese economic decision making since is far too chaotic and there are far too many interest groups for there really to be a &#8220;policy.&#8221;</p>
<p>For example&#8230;</p>
<p>DC: China’s low-end manufacturers have found their tax rebates withdrawn, and complicated export duties imposed.</p>
<p>The government just increased tax rebates for textiles since they were complaining. The model in which the government orders something and it is done just doesn&#8217;t fit China, and what actually happens is that you have a mess of conflicting interest groups interacting with each other.</p>
<p>The statement that the &#8220;Communist Party decides everything&#8221; is true but meaningless and very misleading since in implies a top-down decision making structure which isn&#8217;t how things work.  All of the major economic actors and interest groups have representation within the Communist Party and so that it&#8217;s not a trivial to figure out what constitutes a &#8220;decision&#8221; by the Party.</p>
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		<title>By: Corporate tax policy, budget deficits and the capital stock in a neoclassical model of investment &#124; 1800blogger</title>
		<link>http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-112184</link>
		<dc:creator>Corporate tax policy, budget deficits and the capital stock in a neoclassical model of investment &#124; 1800blogger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Sep 2008 12:15:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-112184</guid>
		<description>[...] which were a close substitute for Treasurys, are no longer absorbed by foreign demand with ease [0]). Hence, I think the case for higher interest rates [1] and hence crowding out in response to [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] which were a close substitute for Treasurys, are no longer absorbed by foreign demand with ease [0]). Hence, I think the case for higher interest rates [1] and hence crowding out in response to [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Dave Chiang</title>
		<link>http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-112183</link>
		<dc:creator>Dave Chiang</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Sep 2008 11:52:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/09/03/forget-about-the-cic-the-state-banks-are-the-real-story-for-now/#comment-112183</guid>
		<description>Chinese government Industrial policy to encourage High-technology Industry
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2008/09/02/cnimagi102.xml

Animation giant once made plastic Christmas trees, writes Malcolm Moore in Hong Kong

Eight Commercial Tower, a dusty, grey building in an old Hong Kong warehouse district, is the headquarters of one of China&#039;s most bizarre companies.

In the past decade, Imagi has switched from being the world&#039;s largest plastic Christmas tree manufacturer into China&#039;s answer to Pixar, the computer-generated animation studio.

 In its previous incarnation, named Boto, it shipped more than six million trees a year and was a prime example of the Chinese manufacturing miracle.

Some 10,000 workers laboured at its plant in Shenzhen, turning out 400 different types of trees, including green, gold, frosted with snow, and sparkling with fibre-optic lights. Some had real pine cones while others rotated and counted down to New Year&#039;s Eve before launching into Auld Lang Syne.

Now Imagi is a symbol of China&#039;s transformation from a low-cost, low-skilled sweatshop into a powerful competitor in high-technology industries. The cost advantages of making toys, cigarette lighters and other knick-knacks can easily be replicated with 3-D movies, it appears.

Imagi&#039;s remarkable conversion is only one of many on the Chinese mainland. BYD, the world&#039;s second-largest battery maker, is now looking at building hybrid cars and has hired a team of Italian designers. Airbus is about to start manufacturing the A320 in Tianjin, Intel is making chips in Dalian, and Chinese companies are leading the way in renewable energy technology, especially photovoltaic panels.

The Communist Party is determined to move industry up the value chain, using a variety of incentives and punishments. China&#039;s low-end manufacturers have found their tax rebates withdrawn, and complicated export duties imposed. Their raw material costs have spiralled and they are going out of business in their thousands.

&quot;Move up or move out&quot; said the front page headline of the state-owned China Daily&#039;s business section yesterday,

&quot;The process may seem painful,&quot; the newspaper intoned, but &quot;it can help the economy achieve a more balanced and therefore more sustainable growth in the long term&quot;. At Eight Commercial Tower, the transformation is well under way.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Chinese government Industrial policy to encourage High-technology Industry<br />
<a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2008/09/02/cnimagi102.xml" rel="nofollow">http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2008/09/02/cnimagi102.xml</a></p>
<p>Animation giant once made plastic Christmas trees, writes Malcolm Moore in Hong Kong</p>
<p>Eight Commercial Tower, a dusty, grey building in an old Hong Kong warehouse district, is the headquarters of one of China&#8217;s most bizarre companies.</p>
<p>In the past decade, Imagi has switched from being the world&#8217;s largest plastic Christmas tree manufacturer into China&#8217;s answer to Pixar, the computer-generated animation studio.</p>
<p> In its previous incarnation, named Boto, it shipped more than six million trees a year and was a prime example of the Chinese manufacturing miracle.</p>
<p>Some 10,000 workers laboured at its plant in Shenzhen, turning out 400 different types of trees, including green, gold, frosted with snow, and sparkling with fibre-optic lights. Some had real pine cones while others rotated and counted down to New Year&#8217;s Eve before launching into Auld Lang Syne.</p>
<p>Now Imagi is a symbol of China&#8217;s transformation from a low-cost, low-skilled sweatshop into a powerful competitor in high-technology industries. The cost advantages of making toys, cigarette lighters and other knick-knacks can easily be replicated with 3-D movies, it appears.</p>
<p>Imagi&#8217;s remarkable conversion is only one of many on the Chinese mainland. BYD, the world&#8217;s second-largest battery maker, is now looking at building hybrid cars and has hired a team of Italian designers. Airbus is about to start manufacturing the A320 in Tianjin, Intel is making chips in Dalian, and Chinese companies are leading the way in renewable energy technology, especially photovoltaic panels.</p>
<p>The Communist Party is determined to move industry up the value chain, using a variety of incentives and punishments. China&#8217;s low-end manufacturers have found their tax rebates withdrawn, and complicated export duties imposed. Their raw material costs have spiralled and they are going out of business in their thousands.</p>
<p>&#8220;Move up or move out&#8221; said the front page headline of the state-owned China Daily&#8217;s business section yesterday,</p>
<p>&#8220;The process may seem painful,&#8221; the newspaper intoned, but &#8220;it can help the economy achieve a more balanced and therefore more sustainable growth in the long term&#8221;. At Eight Commercial Tower, the transformation is well under way.</p>
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