Comments on: Global trade is shrinking, fast http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/12/10/global-trade-is-shrinking-fast/ Sat, 21 Nov 2009 16:40:10 -0500 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4 hourly 1 By: SalElonia http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/12/10/global-trade-is-shrinking-fast/#comment-120696 SalElonia Sat, 20 Dec 2008 05:08:55 +0000 http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/?p=4164#comment-120696 The good resource is informative and actual The good resource is informative and actual

]]> By: Asia as Engine of growth…where are the Consumers? | OnlineEquityCalls.com http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/12/10/global-trade-is-shrinking-fast/#comment-120337 Asia as Engine of growth…where are the Consumers? | OnlineEquityCalls.com Tue, 16 Dec 2008 02:39:55 +0000 http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/?p=4164#comment-120337 [...] Global Trade is shrinking fast India Policy: Confusion Reigns…In Action & WordsPotpourri of News…nothing positive2008: Capture the Year in wordsGlobal News: And the Hits just keep on comin’ Tags: Business, China, Economy, Global crisis, Global Markets, IMF, India Economy, Market Outlook, Stock News/Views [...] [...] Global Trade is shrinking fast India Policy: Confusion Reigns…In Action & WordsPotpourri of News…nothing positive2008: Capture the Year in wordsGlobal News: And the Hits just keep on comin’ Tags: Business, China, Economy, Global crisis, Global Markets, IMF, India Economy, Market Outlook, Stock News/Views [...]

]]> By: Osgoodwisdom.com » Blog Archive » Global Trade is shrinking fast http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/12/10/global-trade-is-shrinking-fast/#comment-120193 Osgoodwisdom.com » Blog Archive » Global Trade is shrinking fast Sat, 13 Dec 2008 18:27:36 +0000 http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/?p=4164#comment-120193 [...] http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/12/10/global-trade-is-shrinking-fast/ [...] [...] http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/12/10/global-trade-is-shrinking-fast/ [...]

]]> By: Market up « Stocks Go Up. Stocks Go Down. http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/12/10/global-trade-is-shrinking-fast/#comment-120144 Market up « Stocks Go Up. Stocks Go Down. Fri, 12 Dec 2008 20:59:40 +0000 http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/?p=4164#comment-120144 [...] China exports falling off cliff. Ramen sales boom as South Korea weakens. [...] [...] China exports falling off cliff. Ramen sales boom as South Korea weakens. [...]

]]> By: Morning Readings: Libor, Ramen, China, etc. | Venture Capital Bloggers Network http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/12/10/global-trade-is-shrinking-fast/#comment-120129 Morning Readings: Libor, Ramen, China, etc. | Venture Capital Bloggers Network Fri, 12 Dec 2008 19:45:40 +0000 http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/?p=4164#comment-120129 [...] Global trade is shrinking, fast (Setser) [...] [...] Global trade is shrinking, fast (Setser) [...]

]]> By: Americans: Be afraid. | John Barrdear http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/12/10/global-trade-is-shrinking-fast/#comment-120121 Americans: Be afraid. | John Barrdear Fri, 12 Dec 2008 17:59:38 +0000 http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/?p=4164#comment-120121 [...] both from the left and the right, you really do have to wonder how ugly it’s going to get.  Looking at the world as a whole is a recipe for staying under the covers tomorrow morning, [...] [...] both from the left and the right, you really do have to wonder how ugly it’s going to get.  Looking at the world as a whole is a recipe for staying under the covers tomorrow morning, [...]

]]> By: RebelEconomist http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/12/10/global-trade-is-shrinking-fast/#comment-120078 RebelEconomist Fri, 12 Dec 2008 13:02:36 +0000 http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/?p=4164#comment-120078 Howard, Unfortunately, the basic economics you cite only applies in the long run. In the shorter term, capital flows can drive the exchange rate and through that, the current account - not all economists and textbooks have fully caught up with the development of the international capital market. Since in China, the government restricts private sector capital flows, you cannot be sure what the "unmanipulated" capital flow would be. It is possible, especially as China's own economy deteriorates, that unrestricted private capital outflows might exceed the current flow of intervention, in which case a floated renminbi might depreciate. Howard,

Unfortunately, the basic economics you cite only applies in the long run. In the shorter term, capital flows can drive the exchange rate and through that, the current account – not all economists and textbooks have fully caught up with the development of the international capital market.

Since in China, the government restricts private sector capital flows, you cannot be sure what the “unmanipulated” capital flow would be. It is possible, especially as China’s own economy deteriorates, that unrestricted private capital outflows might exceed the current flow of intervention, in which case a floated renminbi might depreciate.

]]> By: HZ http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/12/10/global-trade-is-shrinking-fast/#comment-120059 HZ Fri, 12 Dec 2008 04:39:16 +0000 http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/?p=4164#comment-120059 Brad, Thanks for the reference on the Chinese net investment position. That was very helpful. Brad,
Thanks for the reference on the Chinese net investment position. That was very helpful.

]]> By: Thursday morning links | Commodity http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/12/10/global-trade-is-shrinking-fast/#comment-120045 Thursday morning links | Commodity Fri, 12 Dec 2008 02:03:16 +0000 http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/?p=4164#comment-120045 [...] ridicule for UK policies - BBCChina’s Inflation Slows to Weakest Pace in 22 Months - BloombergGlobal trade is shrinking, fast - Setser, CFRAsian Automaker Stocks Gain on U.S. Bailout; Steelmakers Fall - [...] [...] ridicule for UK policies – BBCChina’s Inflation Slows to Weakest Pace in 22 Months – BloombergGlobal trade is shrinking, fast – Setser, CFRAsian Automaker Stocks Gain on U.S. Bailout; Steelmakers Fall – [...]

]]> By: Howard Richman http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2008/12/10/global-trade-is-shrinking-fast/#comment-120037 Howard Richman Fri, 12 Dec 2008 00:06:43 +0000 http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/?p=4164#comment-120037 @Steven Govan I took the liberty of reprinting what you wrote just above on my blog as it matches what I have been predicting and saying. Howard Richman www.tradeandtaxes.blogspot.com @Steven Govan

I took the liberty of reprinting what you wrote just above on my blog as it matches what I have been predicting and saying.

Howard Richman
http://www.tradeandtaxes.blogspot.com

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