Micah Zenko

Politics, Power, and Preventive Action

Zenko covers the U.S. national security debate and offers insight on developments in international security and conflict prevention.

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Mapping Global Conflict

by Micah Zenko
January 6, 2014


We are excited to announce the launch of the Center for Preventive Action’s new interactive guide to U.S. conflict prevention priorities in 2014. The Global Conflict Tracker is based upon the findings of our Preventive Priorities Survey (PPS), which evaluates ongoing and potential conflicts based on their likelihood of occurring in 2014 and their impact on U.S. interests.

A reminder of the PPS methodology: First, we harnessed social media (Facebook, Twitter, blogs etc.) to solicit hundreds of suggestions of potential conflict contingencies from anyone with Internet access. Second, with input from our CFR colleagues, we distilled the crowd-sourced results down to 30 contingencies deemed most plausible to erupt in the new year. Third, in November, those 30 contingencies were sent to 1,200 government officials, foreign policy experts, and academics, who rated their likelihood of occurrence in 2014 and potential impact on U.S. interests.

Rather than simply list the PPS findings, the Global Conflict Tracker presents them in a manner that allows readers to dig deeper into the 30 potential or ongoing conflicts. Each contingency is presented on an interactive map. Click the flags on the map to view a short analysis of the political and security dynamics, the latest analysis from around the web, breaking news stories, and related publications from CFR.  We will update all 30 contingencies regularly, as the country or regional situations evolve. Please check out the Global Conflict Tracker frequently to see how right or wrong the PPS experts were, and for the latest information of each global hotspot.

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